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Inflation

analysis:What has just happened in the US will help Australia's inflation situation, big time

Australian financial markets are now pointing to a close to zero chance of further rate rises — with a fair chance of a rate cut next year. That's thanks to the latest news from the US and UK, writes Peter Martin.
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An older woman with a dark grey bob and glasses speaks into a small microphone in front of a blue screen.

'Growing signs' businesses were passing on cost increases to consumers prompted latest RBA rate hike

Minutes from the RBA's November meeting show the central bank decided to lift interest rates to their highest level in 12 years because of alarming signs that some businesses were passing on higher inflation costs to consumers.
A person with their trolley in a supermarket aisle.

analysis:The uncomfortable truth about record immigration levels, rents and inflation

High rents are driving our inflation because of record levels of immigration, and few appear willing to confront the problem. But this is not — and should not — be an argument about multiculturalism, race or diversity, writes Ian Verrender.
A shot of a busy Melbourne street with pedestrians in front of a tram.

Coalition continues Question Time attacks on Labor over immigration detention

In Parliament the Government scrambles to deal with fallout from the High Court's decision making indefinite immigration detention unlawful.
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ABC News Current
Duration: 6 minutes 36 seconds

analysis:The 'cruel reality' of Australia's recent wage growth

Economists are warning recent wages growth could fuel Australia's already sticky inflation — and put even more upwards pressure on interest rates, writes David Taylor.
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Pedestrians cross a road near a construction site in central Sydney

New chair of the Productivity Commission, Danielle Wood, speaks to 7.30

The Federal Treasurer published the Government's vision for a revived Productivity Commission, of which economist Danielle Wood is the new chair.
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ABC News Current
Duration: 9 minutes 28 seconds

Despite the biggest wages rise on record, the real pay of Australian workers is stuck near a 13-year low

Wages post their biggest quarterly increase in at least a quarter of a century, due to big pay boosts for aged care staff and workers on awards.
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A waitress in a white shirt carries a tray of glasses in a Canberra restaurant.

analysis:Australia's economy is morphing before our eyes – and lots of 'small bang' decisions are required

The growing sullenness amongst voters about cost of living pressures makes it inevitable that the economy will once again become the absolute core issue for the government, writes Laura Tingle.
A tight shot of Jim Chalmers head, he wears a suit and red tie stands in front of a blue curtain

Businesses aren't cutting prices fast enough and record migration is one reason why, according to the RBA

The Reserve Bank reveals the reasoning behind its latest interest rate rise and whether it is likely to have to lift them again.
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Business people walk past a shiny black sign that reads "Reserve Bank of Australia".

Union's price gouging inquiry hears some Queenslanders paying nearly $100 for a leg of ham

A union-backed probe hears Cape York residents are paying exorbitant prices for meat, and up to $2.87 a litre for diesel, while a retired nurse has been forced to go without insurance to make ends meet.
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Cured leg of ham on a plate ready to be sliced

analysis:Australia is the odd one out on interest rates around the world

There's nothing in the RBA governor's statement to suggest she is thinking of pushing up rates again, and financial markets are also betting this rate hike will be the last, writes Peter Martin.
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a skyline with houses

Treasurer Jim Chalmers: “Today’s decision is incredibly difficult for a lot of people”

The Reserve Bank raised the cash rate today for the first time in five months. a decision treasurer Jim Chalmers says will be "incredibly difficult” for struggling households.
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ABC News Current
Duration: 12 minutes 20 seconds

analysis:Why the RBA will probably deliver a Melbourne Cup Day rate rise even though it doesn't need to

Tuesday's RBA meeting is about more than rates — it's also a credibility test in disguise. After all, you can only make an explicit threat so many times and not follow through without eroding your authority, writes business editor Ian Verrender.
Michelle Bullock and Philip Lowe

Will the Reserve Bank raise the interest rate again?

The Reserve Bank board to decide whether to raise official interest rates again, despite a weak economy and millions of households already suffering intense cost of living pain.
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ABC News Current
Duration: 7 minutes 1 second

analysis:Australia's Big Four banks are betting on a Cup Day rate rise, and it's not because of inflation

Why on earth would Australia's Big Four banks be expecting the Reserve Bank to lift rates on Melbourne Cup Day when Australians are buying less than a year ago and annual inflation is heading down, asks Peter Martin.
Three jockeys aboard three horses crossing the line in the Melbourne Cup.

analysis:The Reserve Bank is trying to hammer inflation, but will it break the economy doing it?

Like Looney Tunes' famous cartoon villain, the Reserve Bank risks running Australia's economy over a cliff if it becomes too single-minded in its pursuit of the inflation Road Runner, writes Michael Janda.
A pictorial representation of Australian GDP sitting on the edge of a cliff.

The reversal of a pandemic trend has rents soaring again. Is it the new normal or is the end in sight?

The number of available properties listed to rent fell to a record low in September, with worsening vacancy rates and a rising population increasing competition among renters that's resulting in higher prices.
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People walk through the front door of a house, past a For Lease sign.

Luci Ellis was an RBA assistant governor until earlier this month. She thinks it will raise rates next month

Bets on an interest rate rise next month gyrate dramatically on Senate testimony from the Reserve Bank governor, having surged on higher-than-expected inflation numbers.
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RBA assistant governor Luci Ellis at a House of  Representatives economic committee hearing in Melbourne

Inflation lifts 1.2 per cent in September quarter

The rise has beaten market expectations of a 1.1 per cent hike, driven by rising fuel and housing prices.
ABC News Current
Duration: 5 minutes 45 seconds

'Pretty scary': Rising prices and another interest rate rise might force Frances to sell her family home

Consumer prices rose 1.2 per cent in the September quarter, slightly above economist forecasts and increasing the risks of another Reserve Bank interest rate rise.
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Frances Chapman washes a cup at her sink.

RBA warns it 'will not hesitate' to lift cash rate

The ABC's Business Editor Ian Verrender says the RBA has been consistent in its messaging.
ABC News Current
Duration: 3 minutes 1 second

RBA 'will not hesitate' to increase rates if inflation takes longer to return to target than forecast

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock says the central bank "will not hesitate" to increase the cash rate over fears inflation could take longer to return to target than its current "late 2025" forecast.
Michele Bullock

analysis:Michele Bullock has threatened rate hikes for weeks. Could the Reserve Bank be about to take the gamble?

Higher fuel prices make a compelling argument for the RBA to lift rates again next month, but the risks of it setting a foot wrong when it comes to policy are high to extreme, writes business editor Ian Verrender.
Michele Bullock fronting a Senate estimates hearing

analysis:We'll soon have the next piece of the puzzle on inflation — and it'll impact whether interest rates go up

The Reserve Bank is deadly serious about maintaining the welfare of all Australians, but it's also deadly serious about anchoring inflation and it won't stop until that's achieved, writes David Taylor. 
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Kitchen worker uses tongs in a pub kitchen in Sydney.

'Shock, after shock, after shock' leaves RBA boss worried about persistent high inflation

The Reserve Bank's new governor Michele Bullock worries that continuing global supply shocks may entrench inflation expectations and bigger price rises, forcing interest rates higher for longer.
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A middle-aged woman in a purple outfit and weading glasses sits on a plush chair with her hands in her lap.